Public and health professionals' misconceptions about the dynamics of body weight gain/loss

Abstract

Human body energy storage operates as a stock-and-flow system with inflow (food intake) and outflow (energy expenditure). In spite of the ubiquity of stock-and-flow structures, evidence suggests that human beings fail to understand stock accumulation and rates of change, a difficulty called the stock-flow failure. This study examines the influence of health care training and cultural background in overcoming stock-flow failure. A standardized protocol assessed lay people's and health care professionals' ability to apply stock-and-flow reasoning to infer the dynamics of weight gain/loss during the holiday season (621 subjects from seven countries). Our results indicate that both types of subjects exhibited systematic errors indicative of use of erroneous heuristics. Indeed 76% of lay subjects and 71% of health care professionals failed to understand the simple dynamic impact of energy intake and energy expenditure on body weight. Stock-flow failure was found across cultures and was not improved by professional health training. The problem of stock-flow failure as a transcultural global issue with education and policy implications is discussed. Copyright (C) 2014 System Dynamics Society

Description
Keywords
SYSTEMS THINKING INVENTORY, DECISION-MAKING, EDUCATION, OBESITY, TASK, Management, Social Sciences, Mathematical Methods
Citation
Abdel-Hamid, T., Ankel, F., Battle-Fisher, M., Gibson, B., Gonzalez-Parra, G., Jalali, M., Kaipainen, K., Kalupahana, N., Karanfil, O., Marathe, A., Martinson, B., McKelvey, K., Sarbadhikari, S. N., Pintauro, S., Poucheret, P., Pronk, N., Qian, Y., Sazonov, E., Oorschot, K. V., … Murphy, P. (2014). Public and health professionals’ misconceptions about the dynamics of body weight gain/loss. In System Dynamics Review (Vol. 30, Issues 1–2, pp. 58–74). Wiley. https://doi.org/10.1002/sdr.1517